tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post8573049603743755050..comments2023-04-27T08:42:14.204-04:00Comments on Tossing Horseshoes: Week 11 Tossing Horseshoes: The Road Warriors (with Recap)Omie_ghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comBlogger38125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-82170553382668416702012-11-20T22:29:55.764-05:002012-11-20T22:29:55.764-05:00Haha, I think the Bears D thought they could have ...Haha, I think the Bears D thought they could have an easy match up against the rookie. They were proven wrong. <br /><br />We'll get em' next time!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-66015650303653962812012-11-20T22:28:34.437-05:002012-11-20T22:28:34.437-05:00Thanks Mike! It really means a lot. My picks will ...Thanks Mike! It really means a lot. My picks will be posted by late tonight, early tomorrow.<br /><br />Wish you a Happy Thanksgiving as well. Cheers!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-30769022947976227372012-11-20T14:16:35.422-05:002012-11-20T14:16:35.422-05:00omie, sure not ur fault last nite. who could have...omie, sure not ur fault last nite. who could have known chicago left their defense at home. unbelievable! we get them thurs. tks my friend. Ronron v.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16203577192567929718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-50384952686393861252012-11-20T08:29:55.501-05:002012-11-20T08:29:55.501-05:00its hard to get 1 game right you get 4 or 5 right ...its hard to get 1 game right you get 4 or 5 right at a time. thank you for the picks and will check back on thursday happy thanksgiving!!! mike mikenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-29632055245428929972012-11-20T05:13:22.101-05:002012-11-20T05:13:22.101-05:00Who knew Colin Kaepernick would be so dominant? No...Who knew Colin Kaepernick would be so dominant? Not me. The MNF slightly tarnishes my picks, but a great weekend nonetheless.<br /><br />I will release a few picks for the Thanksgiving day games within Wednesday. Hope to see you guys here.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-52681204699971030082012-11-19T16:23:19.500-05:002012-11-19T16:23:19.500-05:00In a teaser bet, you can buy from 6 to 11 points f...In a teaser bet, you can buy from 6 to 11 points for a lower payout.<br /><br />If you do a 6 point teaser involving 2 outcomes, the payout is at -110, the equivalent of a single bet pretty much.<br /><br />So for example if you tease the two outcomes I proposed earlier, a $10 bet would profit $9.09 totaling $19.09.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-63397271305010639562012-11-19T16:06:45.192-05:002012-11-19T16:06:45.192-05:00omie, never did a tease, what does it pay off that...omie, never did a tease, what does it pay off that wayron v.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16203577192567929718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-32019196209160299102012-11-19T15:44:02.090-05:002012-11-19T15:44:02.090-05:00I still like the Beats ATS at +3.5. I'm a litt...I still like the Beats ATS at +3.5. I'm a little concerned about the low total of 34 though. I think a safe bet today would be to tease the Bears and the UNDER.<br /><br />Bears +9.5 and 'UNDER' 40<br /><br />GL!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-15995754917229051432012-11-19T15:29:33.900-05:002012-11-19T15:29:33.900-05:00omie do u still like chicago at 3.5 and 34o/uomie do u still like chicago at 3.5 and 34o/uron v.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16203577192567929718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-75713863390860206912012-11-19T13:05:18.960-05:002012-11-19T13:05:18.960-05:00I wanted to do the EXACT same thing except bodog p...I wanted to do the EXACT same thing except bodog put the line out at +3.5 for Chicago so i decided to stay away from that. Made a small bet on the "Under" though. Sotshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07239282856790970954noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-41811259811935738862012-11-19T13:02:13.505-05:002012-11-19T13:02:13.505-05:00After speaking to Sots last night, I decided to pu...After speaking to Sots last night, I decided to put in a parlay with Chicago +6.5 and 'UNDER' 36.5.<br /><br />I also made a small prob bet that neither team will score 3 unanswered times in the game.<br /><br />This is not an official Horseshoe Toss but here's why I like Chicago. Chicago D creates a lot of turnovers, but they give the ball right back with carelessness on offense. But with the #1 QBs out, both teams will play conservatively. <br /><br />Both defenses are dominating, they will limit the others offense. I expect a similar game to the one we saw yesterday at Pittsburgh.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-45838251348215049192012-11-18T22:05:31.079-05:002012-11-18T22:05:31.079-05:00What a day Ron! Sometimes luck screws you, sometim...What a day Ron! Sometimes luck screws you, sometimes it kisses you in the mouth. How the Packers and Buccaneers pull that out, I don't know, but they did, and we won!!<br /><br />Cheers bud.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-24688547330474052792012-11-18T22:03:52.247-05:002012-11-18T22:03:52.247-05:00Big day Slim. From the sounds of it, you had a big...Big day Slim. From the sounds of it, you had a big day too. Beautiful Sunday!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-56952036352879908332012-11-18T19:17:06.233-05:002012-11-18T19:17:06.233-05:00omie, or should I say superman, great great sunday...omie, or should I say superman, great great sunday, this was fun, tks my friendron v.https://www.blogger.com/profile/16203577192567929718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-82016279021019450992012-11-18T14:06:10.255-05:002012-11-18T14:06:10.255-05:00Hey Omie picks are looking good bro very sweet!!I ...Hey Omie picks are looking good bro very sweet!!I am going to take Clev+6.5 and a little on the moneyline today in NBA!!Hope it hits!Cheers bro!Slim Thugnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-5744493899603015972012-11-18T04:33:47.465-05:002012-11-18T04:33:47.465-05:00Nice picks! Will the Jets figure it out and turn t...Nice picks! Will the Jets figure it out and turn things around this week? That's a big question. I believe they might.<br /><br />Good luck today!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-69733943546405891442012-11-18T04:22:47.579-05:002012-11-18T04:22:47.579-05:00Sweet picks Smith. Great record so far!
Good luck...Sweet picks Smith. Great record so far!<br /><br />Good luck today.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-45727391901136390222012-11-18T04:11:24.363-05:002012-11-18T04:11:24.363-05:00GB -3.5
Ravens -3.5
Saints - 5.5
Jets +3.5GB -3.5<br />Ravens -3.5<br />Saints - 5.5<br />Jets +3.5Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-47743165462436991702012-11-17T22:02:48.626-05:002012-11-17T22:02:48.626-05:00I am 8-1 since starting with my Top 3 picks in Wee...I am 8-1 since starting with my Top 3 picks in Week 8, which I am now referring to as Bulletproof Picks. Let's see how things go this week...<br /><br />Week 11 Bulletproof Picks:<br />New Orleans Saints -4.5 at Oakland Raiders<br />(3 units)<br />- The Saints are coming off two big victories at home and will head to Oakland to take on the Raiders who are missing both first and second string RBs to injury. This will result in Palmer throwing the ball around 50 times, and although the Saints pass defense is below average at best, I can't imagine him outdueling Brees. New Orleans wins by a large margin.<br /><br />Indianapolis Colts +9.5 at New England Patriots<br />(2 units)<br />- 9.5 points is a ton of points given the way the Colts have been playing. Brady could easily come out gunning as he has been known to do and have the Patriots up by 2 or 3 TDs in the first half, but that's not how I see this game going. Their lackluster performance against the Bills will spill over into this week against Andrew Luck and crew. Another close game, but the Colts will cover.<br /><br />Cleveland Browns +7.5 at Dallas Cowboys<br />(2 units)<br />- I expect Richardson to put up a big performance against the Cowboys. The Browns defense will keep Romo to a modest performance with an interception or two, and the game will come down to the running game of Dallas. I'm taking the Browns to cover the spread in a close game.<br /><br />Other games I like:<br />Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons -9.5<br />(1 unit)<br /><br />Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 at Kansas City Chiefs<br />(1 unit)<br /><br />Baltimore Ravens -3.5 at Pittsburgh Steelers<br />(1 unit)<br /><br /><br /><br />Check out my blog and let me know what you think...<br />http://smithnflpicks.weebly.com/index.htmlSmithGThttp://smithnflpicks.weebly.com/index.htmlnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-23259773075573807152012-11-17T21:10:00.894-05:002012-11-17T21:10:00.894-05:00Firstly, thank you for your feedback Dave!
1.
==&...Firstly, thank you for your feedback Dave!<br /><br />1.<br />==>You say that "Detroit D is built to defend the pass", but they are allowing opposition QB's to throw 66.1% completion rate (28th in the NFL)<br />==> Jordy is a dynamic receiver that can beat teams short and deep. Only 20% of his receptions are longer than 20 yards that because he's being asked to run both short and long routes. He's capable and he's got the QB to catch some long balls.<br /><br />2.<br />==> I don't doubt for a second that the Cowboys are a better team. My point is that they're not an elite team and they don't play to their potential at home. With the current trends, I don't think that the Cowboys should be 8/9 point favorites, even against the Browns.<br /><br />Good luck on Sunday!Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-58759596488650413662012-11-17T20:53:12.890-05:002012-11-17T20:53:12.890-05:00Disagree on Packers game and Cowboys game, here...Disagree on Packers game and Cowboys game, here's why:<br /><br />1. Play Factor: Detroit D built to defend pass, and offense built to pass, both weaknesses for pack. blitz coming. You mention nelson, he has about 80% of his receptions between 0 and 20 yards, so the secondary wont actually be tested for deeper balls... nelson will be jammed at line and thus 3 step drops won't be as effective, and will result in sacks. Psychological factor: Detroit home game + if they lose their donezo....Vegas factor: 74% of money on pack, Vegas doesn't lose :P....taking the points @ -3.5<br /><br />2. Play Factor: Cowboys are simply a better football team, the Browns have an awful defense and an awful offense. Key stat large spreads like this is scoring...well Cleveland is last in the league in red zone scoring percentage, 17% over the past 3 games versus Dallas' 50%. Add in the defensive scoring that Dallas never gets...I'm going ATS here....7.5 ain't enough for this blowout. <br />daveOhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04829388000676395612noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-26660940651970842772012-11-17T20:26:51.674-05:002012-11-17T20:26:51.674-05:00Hahah i was taking this guy seriously till he said...Hahah i was taking this guy seriously till he said Jacksonville outright. Love the hate keep it coming! Sotshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07239282856790970954noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-75999715363786613822012-11-17T19:39:43.468-05:002012-11-17T19:39:43.468-05:00I'm about to add another official selection to...I'm about to add another official selection to my Week 11 Horseshoe Toss:<br /><br />Jaguars +16 @ Texans<br /><br />Like most teams in the NFL, the Jaguars will be playing for pride in this game. Remember when they were 16 point dogs against the Packers at Lambeau Field? The Jags competed there and they will do the same at Reliant Stadium. The Jags actually play better on the road than they do at home. Their lone win this season came at Indy and they are incredibly 4-0 ATS on the road.<br /><br />Houston will not be fully focused for this game as they have a TNF game coming up the following week. From Walter Football “Favorites are 1-7 ATS prior to Thursday games this year.” Texans will jump to an early lead, then coast their way to a win. Give me the Jaguars here!<br />Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-2888372053130872672012-11-17T19:16:19.842-05:002012-11-17T19:16:19.842-05:00Hahahah, Alex Wright #legend... It's for thing...Hahahah, Alex Wright #legend... It's for things like this that Norin is one of my best friends.Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5855141023802179913.post-68964145516366624492012-11-17T19:04:52.958-05:002012-11-17T19:04:52.958-05:00Norin is back!! Bringing more heat than ever befor...Norin is back!! Bringing more heat than ever before. Considering the concept of your selections, it's amazing that you have a 2-2 record on your FTG picks. Keep going strong Norin! Omie_ghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12273427685360790368noreply@blogger.com